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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NASDAQ
Price history for CBRL is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
Estimated fair value
63.42
Range
46.67–103.30
Price vs value
11% below
Model support
Value
11% below fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
→ stable
Next catalyst
CBRL earnings · 15d
earnings
Volatility
calm
regime
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Forecast withheld
stale data
No intelligence items published yet.
Price trades 11% below the fair-value estimate — CBRL screens as moderately undervalued. The 3 models disagree widely (dispersion 41.8%) — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the answer. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
51.8x FY2027 P/E
EPS 1.10-46.5%6 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 57.02
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 50.74(fair value 63.42 − 20%)
price is 12% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
→ Estimates stable (revenue 0.0% · EPS 0.0% · targets 0.0% this month)
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 15y of statements
Revenue
$3.5B
+2% per year over the period
Operating margin
1.6%
5y average 4.8%
Free cash flow
$60M
1.7% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3×
ROE
10.0%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
4.8%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$23M
latest year
Buybacks
$17M
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
These are what the market must believe, not what Previct forecasts. If the priced-in assumptions look impossible, the price is fragile; if they look easy, the bar is low.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-14 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 111.86 | 124.09 | 142.56 | 173.73 | 237.51 |
| 6.4% | 100.75 | 110.2 | 123.93 | 145.72 | 185.58 |
| 6.9% |
Terminal value is 61% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
| 50% |
|---|
| 45% |
|---|
| 40% |
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| 35% |
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| 30% |
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| 25% |
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| 20% |
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| 15% |
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| 10% |
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| 5% |
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| 0% |
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Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
| 91.28 |
| 98.69 |
| 109.11 |
| 124.86 |
| 151.44 |
| 7.4% | 83.12 | 88.99 | 97.03 | 108.73 | 127.27 |
|---|
| 7.9% | 76.01 | 80.72 | 87.01 | 95.87 | 109.25 |
|---|
| 8.4% | 69.78 | 73.58 | 78.56 | 85.38 | 95.29 |
|---|
| 8.9% | 64.27 | 67.35 | 71.33 | 76.65 | 84.15 |
|---|
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 57.02: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.