Market Command Center
Market Command Center
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts · NYSE
Price history for FPS is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
Estimated fair value
6.42
Range
4.83–10.15
Price vs value
83% above
Model support
Value
83% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
tracking
trends after ~30 days
Next catalyst
FPS earnings · 14d
earnings
Volatility
—
building depth
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Forecast withheld
stale data
No intelligence items published yet.
Price trades 83% above the fair-value estimate — FPS screens as materially overvalued. Only one valuation model is applicable here, so there is no independent cross-check. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
57.1x FY2026 P/E
EPS 0.68+933.4%5 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 38.82
Cash-flow model (DCF): not shown — model inputs out of valid range.
Trailing earnings x own 5Y P/E: not shown — not enough history yet.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 5.13(fair value 6.42 − 20%)
price is 656% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
Estimate revisions: tracking since 2026-08-14 — trends appear after ~30 days of snapshots.
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 2y of statements
Revenue
$753M
+315% per year over the period
Operating margin
9.6%
5y average 3.5%
Free cash flow
−$39M
-5.2% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6×
ROE
4.1%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
6.4%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$13M
latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2024
What the current price is assuming
No revenue-growth or margin assumption inside the model's sanity bounds justifies today's price of 38.82. Either the market expects something far outside historical experience, or the price has detached from fundamentals.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-14 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 50% |
|---|
| 45% |
|---|
| 40% |
|---|
| 35% |
|---|
| 30% |
|---|
| 25% |
|---|
| 20% |
|---|
| 15% |
|---|
| 10% |
|---|
| 5% |
|---|
| 0% |
|---|
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
| — |
| 9.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
| 9.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
| 10.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
| 10.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 38.82: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.