Price history for AAPL is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
AAPL · valuation
Stable profitable company · engine v0.3.0
Estimated fair value
204.63
Range
142.25–289.57
Price vs value
36% above
Model support
medium
AAPL · what would close the gap
Value
36% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
tracking
trends after ~30 days
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
normal
regime
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Forecasts
Live
No forecasts
No forecasts reference AAPL in the active snapshot. Forecast slots populate as engines cover this instrument.
Live Tape
0 items · as of
No intelligence items published yet.
research only · uncalibrated
Price trades 36% above the fair-value estimate — AAPL screens as materially overvalued. The 3 models broadly agree (dispersion 11.4%). A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
36.2x FY2026 P/E
EPS 8.83+18.4%27 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 319.70
Cash-flow model (DCF)183.61-43%
Total payout (dividends + net buybacks)188.98-41%
Trailing earnings x own 5Y P/E233.19-27%
Wall Street consensus target340.72+7%
Peer companies' EV/EBITDA: not shown — unavailable.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
vs fair valueprice 36% above fair value
vs own history60% percentile of its own 5y P/E range
vs peers—
growth-adjustedPEG 1.9×
Wall Streetanalysts +7% vs price
Entry threshold
below163.70(fair value 204.63 − 20%)
price is 95% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
Estimate revisions: tracking since 2026-09-02 — trends appear after ~30 days of snapshots.
WACC 7.88% = CoE 7.95% · β 0.84 · ERP 4.3%
Deeper analysis›what the price assumes · sensitivity
Company profile at a glance
Valuation60% of its P/E history
Growth+11% revenue
Profitability▲32% operating margin
Balance sheet0.4× EBITDA net debt
Expectations14% priced-in growth
Revisionstracking
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 17y of statements
These are what the market must believe, not what Previct forecasts. If the priced-in assumptions look impossible, the price is fragile; if they look easy, the bar is low.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
margin ↓ / growth →
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
60%
55%
Price vs fair value through time
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
PREVICT_MODEL revenue estimate guard · FY2029 onward excluded: revenue growth jumped from 7.6% to -13.6%
PREVICT_MODEL revenue growth fade · linear fade to 3.0% stable rate by year 10
Terminal value is 66% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — 2 of 100 combinations work. If they all sit at heroic growth or margins, the price is demanding.
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-09 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
147.98
161.22
179.4
205.87
248.02
7.9%
137.22
148.19
162.89
183.61
215.03
8.4%
127.78
136.95
148.99
165.51
189.58
8.9%
119.43
127.16
137.14
150.51
169.36
9.4%
112.01
118.57
126.91
137.87
152.91
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 319.7: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.