Market Command Center
Live
Market Command Center
Adobe Inc.
Technology · Software - Application · NASDAQ
Price history for ADBE is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
Estimated fair value
531.88
Range
397.43–735.78
Price vs value
101% below
Model support
Value
101% below fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
→ stable
Next catalyst
ADBE earnings · 9d
earnings
Volatility
elevated
regime
1M forecast
63% up
median +3.9%
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Price trades 101% below the fair-value estimate — ADBE screens as materially undervalued. The 4 models disagree widely (dispersion 24.9%) — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the answer. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
10.8x FY2026 P/E
EPS 24.40+46.1%22 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 264.46
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 425.50(fair value 531.88 − 20%)
price is inside your band
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
→ Estimates stable (revenue 0.0% · EPS 0.0% · targets 0.0% this month)
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 17y of statements
Revenue
$23.8B
+14% per year over the period
Operating margin
36.6%
5y average 34.7%
Free cash flow
$9.9B
41.4% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6×
net cash position
ROE
61.3%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
111.1%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Buybacks
$11.3B
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
These are what the market must believe, not what Previct forecasts. If the priced-in assumptions look impossible, the price is fragile; if they look easy, the bar is low.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-13 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 342.42 | 367.71 | 401.25 | 447.88 | 517.11 |
| 8.6% | 320.68 | 341.95 | 369.63 | 407.15 | 460.9 |
| 9.1% |
As September gets underway, we want to help you stay ahead of the game with our monthly list of stocks to buy and avoid.
Terminal value is 58% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
| 50% |
|---|
| 45% |
|---|
| 40% |
|---|
| 35% |
|---|
| 30% |
|---|
| 25% |
|---|
| 20% |
|---|
| 15% |
|---|
| 10% |
|---|
| 5% |
|---|
| 0% |
|---|
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
| 301.41 |
| 319.43 |
| 342.51 |
| 373.13 |
| 415.69 |
| 9.6% | 284.21 | 299.59 | 319.01 | 344.29 | 378.55 |
|---|
| 10.1% | 268.78 | 281.99 | 298.45 | 319.54 | 347.5 |
|---|
| 10.6% | 254.85 | 266.27 | 280.32 | 298.07 | 321.17 |
|---|
| 11.1% | 242.24 | 252.14 | 264.22 | 279.28 | 298.55 |
|---|
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 264.46: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.