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Ciena Corporation
Technology · Communication Equipment · NYSE
Price history for CIEN is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
Estimated fair value
25.40
Range
19.37–44.32
Price vs value
94% above
Model support
Value
94% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
→ stable
Next catalyst
CIEN earnings · 2d
earnings
Volatility
elevated
regime
1M forecast
32% up
median -9.5%
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Probability higher · median -9.5%
80% range -36.3% to 24.9% · confidence 50%
fresh evidence · uncalibrated
No intelligence items published yet.
Price trades 94% above the fair-value estimate — CIEN screens as materially overvalued. Only one valuation model is applicable here, so there is no independent cross-check. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
64.8x FY2026 P/E
EPS 6.53+668.6%12 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 423.17
Cash-flow model (DCF): not shown — no discount rate available.
Peer companies' EV/EBITDA: not shown — unavailable.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 20.32(fair value 25.40 − 20%)
price is 1983% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
→ Estimates stable (revenue 0.0% · EPS 0.0% · targets 0.0% this month)