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Market Command Center
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ
Price history for PANW is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
Estimated fair value
865.94
Range
184.32–1,836.51
Price vs value
126% below
Model support
Value
126% below fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
→ stable
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
extreme
regime
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Forecast withheld
stale data
Price trades 126% below the fair-value estimate — PANW screens as materially undervalued. Only one valuation model is applicable here, so there is no independent cross-check. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
101.7x FY2026 P/E
EPS 3.77+135.8%29 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 383.83
Cash-flow model (DCF): not shown — model inputs out of valid range.
Peer companies' EV/EBITDA: not shown — unavailable.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 692.75(fair value 865.94 − 20%)
price is inside your band
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
→ Estimates stable (revenue 0.0% · EPS 0.0% · targets +0.9% this month)
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 13y of statements
Revenue
$9.2B
+22% per year over the period
Operating margin
13.5%
5y average 3.4%
Free cash flow
$3.5B
37.6% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.0×
net cash position
ROE
14.5%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
16.7%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
No revenue-growth or margin assumption inside the model's sanity bounds justifies today's price of 383.83. Either the market expects something far outside historical experience, or the price has detached from fundamentals.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
price · fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-12 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.1% | — | — | — | — |
Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options: https://bit.ly/2v9tH6D. After CrowdStrike (CRWD) posted a strong earnings report, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) faces a rising bar from Wall Street.
| 50% |
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| 45% |
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| 40% |
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| 35% |
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| 30% |
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| 25% |
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| 10% |
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| 5% |
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| 0% |
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Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — 1 of 100 combinations work. If they all sit at heroic growth or margins, the price is demanding.
| — |
| 9.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
| 10.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 10.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 11.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
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Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 383.83: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.