Market Command Center
Live
Market Command Center
PepsiCo, Inc.
Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · NASDAQ
Price history for PEP is unavailable — the core-api history endpoint is offline or returned an unexpected payload.
Estimated fair value
123.33
Range
95.62–160.86
Price vs value
14% above
Model support
Value
14% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
→ stable
Next catalyst
PEP earnings · 37d
earnings
Volatility
normal
regime
1M forecast
48% up
median -0.2%
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Probability higher · median -0.2%
80% range -6.1% to 7.4% · confidence 50%
fresh evidence · uncalibrated
No intelligence items published yet.
Price trades 14% above the fair-value estimate — PEP screens as moderately overvalued. The 3 models disagree widely (dispersion 21.4%) — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the answer. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
16.7x FY2026 P/E
EPS 8.55+42.6%13 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 142.58
Peer companies' EV/EBITDA: not shown — unavailable.
Total payout (dividends + net buybacks): not shown — dividends are the relevant payout model.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 98.66(fair value 123.33 − 20%)
price is 45% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
→ Estimates stable (revenue +0.0% · EPS -0.0% · targets 0.0% this month)
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 17y of statements
Revenue
$93.9B
+5% per year over the period
Operating margin
12.2%
5y average 13.3%
Free cash flow
$7.7B
8.2% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1×
ROE
40.4%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
17.0%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$7.6B
latest year
Buybacks
$1.0B
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
These are what the market must believe, not what Previct forecasts. If the priced-in assumptions look impossible, the price is fragile; if they look easy, the bar is low.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-14 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 120.82 | 135.78 | 158.98 | 199.83 | 290.86 |
| 6.1% | 107.93 | 119.38 | 136.38 | 164.25 | 218.31 |
| 6.6% |
Terminal value is 63% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
| 50% |
|---|
| 45% |
|---|
| 40% |
|---|
| 35% |
|---|
| 30% |
|---|
| 25% |
|---|
| 20% |
|---|
| 15% |
|---|
| 10% |
|---|
| 5% |
|---|
| 0% |
|---|
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
| 97.02 |
| 105.93 |
| 118.68 |
| 138.47 |
| 173.31 |
| 7.1% | 87.68 | 94.69 | 104.44 | 118.92 | 142.65 |
|---|
| 7.6% | 79.59 | 85.17 | 92.74 | 103.58 | 120.4 |
|---|
| 8.1% | 72.52 | 77.01 | 82.96 | 91.23 | 103.5 |
|---|
| 8.6% | 66.3 | 69.93 | 74.66 | 81.06 | 90.23 |
|---|
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 142.58: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.